Yankee Stadium a Pitcher’s Park?
It didn’t take long for criticism to rain down on the new Yankee Stadium last season. From fans pining for the mystique and aura of the old stadium, which was still standing across the street, to the pundits who claimed it more a mall than a ballpark, everyone had an opinion about what was wrong with the park. But a few games into the 2009 season, another issue emerged: Baseballs were leaving the park at an alarming rate. The effect seemed so pronounced, in fact, that commentators came up with a new name for the Stadium: Coors Field East.
Through the season’s first two months the park lived up to the moniker. The Yankees came to bat 921 times during that span and hit 45 home runs, or one every 20.5 plate appearances (PA). Opponents didn’t have quite as much success, hitting 42 home runs in 983 PA, one every 23.4 PA. That was still far ahead of the AL pace for those two months, a home run every 35.2 PA. The Yankees claimed that the new stadium’s dimenions were identical to the old (though a few sources disputed that notion). But something appeared to be a bit different at the new park.
Two months represents a small sample, especially regarding park data. Park factors are most accurate when using a three-year sample, so a two-month sample might mean nothing. To that end, the stadium experienced a statistical correction in June. While the Yankees hit home runs at a slightly less rapid pace, one every 22.3 PA, their opponents saw a precipitous drop, hitting a home run once every 41.8 PA. Opponents never got close to their early-season marks, hitting a home run every 37.7 PA from June through season’s end. The Yankees hit a home run every 24.8 PA from June through September, a bit lower than their April and May pace.
Yankees PA HR PA/HR Opp.PA Opp.HR Opp. PA/HR April 298 15 19.87 311 13 23.92 May 623 30 20.77 672 29 23.17 June 490 22 22.27 502 12 41.83 July 604 24 25.17 603 16 37.69 August 539 26 20.73 517 15 34.47 Sept 623 19 32.79 603 16 37.69 Total 3177 136 23.36 3208 101 31.76
There is no doubt that the Yankees benefitted from their new park, though that appears to be by design. The lineup featured not only three lefties, but also four switch hitters. Each of those four switch hitters has displayed more power from the left side over his career, and each also exceeded his career power numbers from the left side in 2009. After losing two lefties this off-season, the Yankees added three to their starting lineup, so perhaps we will see a similar effect this season.
But despite all those home runs, Yankee Stadium actually leaned towards being a pitchers’ park, according to ESPN’s Park Factors. While it ranked first in HR factor, it ranked second to last in doubles, with only Petco Park — considered the most cavernous park in the league — more heavily suppressing doubles. But, again, all of this uses just one year’s worth of data. In order to get a better read on how the park plays we need to study it over multiple seasons. As we saw in April and May, a few months of aberrant production can skew a season’s worth of numbers.
Joe also writes about the Yankees at River Ave. Blues.
With the addition of Curtis Granderson, I think the HR factor is going to stay high.
Could the lack of doubles be because a greater percentage of line drives are leaving the park? Does ESPN’s park factor metric account for this?